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In this particular post, I was trying to lay out a range of factors that could affect the share of a population being pregnant, nothing more. (3/3)

A separate recruitment-based study of just 1,694 trans and nonbinary individuals who had been pregnant before found 92 abortions among them.
tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10

So the clinic survey number is evidently a massive undercount.

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A separate recruitment-based study of just 1,694 trans and nonbinary individuals who had been pregnant before found 92 abortions among them.
sciencedirect.com/science/arti

So the clinic survey number is evidently a massive undercount.

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The authors note "our estimate of abortions to TGNB individuals is likely lower than the actual incidence," though their article does not discuss the various (imho, fairly obvious) factors that could contribute to an undercount.

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Providers reported 230 abortions to people they knew to be transgender or nonbinary. 40% of providers reported they did not collect such data. The authors extrapolated this to 462 to 530 across all facilities.

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The most detailed published study I could find on this issue offers a minimum annual number, collected by abortion providers and reported in an triannual survey.

sciencedirect.com/science/arti

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FWIW, few of these gender identity surveys break down trans men vs trans women, or nonbinary people by sex assigned at birth.

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One can imagine a range of factors that might tilt that number in both directions: disproportionately same-sex relationships, different levels of sexual activity, greater economic marginalization, differing views on abortion, etc.

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If transgender and nonbinary people get pregnant and have abortions at the same rate as their age peers, that would mean around 35,000 abortions per year.

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A back-of-the-envelope calculation would suggest that 3.8% of potentially pregnant people, age-adjusted to those who actually seek abortions, are transgender or nonbinary.

That's one in 26.

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Now muliplying across ages:

under 20: 9% of abortion patients x 4% trans or nonbinary = 0.36%

20-29: 57% x 5.1% = 2.9%

30+: 35% x 1.6% = 0.56%

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Since we don't have a teen nonbinary figure here, I'll assume that it's proportional to the 18-29 figure: 2.4%.

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A separate Pew survey found 2.0% of adults 18-29 were trans and another 3.0% were nonbinary.

Among 30 to 49 year olds, those numbers were 0.3% and 1.3%.

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Studies of transgender identity "estimated that 1.4 percent of 13- to 17-year-olds and 1.3 percent of 18- to 24-year-olds were transgender" based on 2017 to 2020 data. nytimes.com/2022/06/10/science

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Let's do some math now. (I'll get to the caveats later.)

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While many of the writers who are publicly troubled by using terms like "pregnant people" or "people with uteruses" are older women, abortion patients skew young.

nytimes.com/interactive/2021/1

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What share of abortion patients don't identify as women? Is it "tiny"?

Some back of the envelope calculations suggest not…

Trans-inclusive language can be done by using the word "and"… a detailed look at how this is sometimes hard for cis writers and editors.

RT @nationinterns@twitter.com

Katha Pollitt, in her role as a contributor to the Nation, deliberately erases trans and nonbinary people from her reproductive justice reporting. Yesterday's tweets promoting Pamela Paul's transphobic opinion piece is the latest in a disturbing pattern in her work:🧵 twitter.com/KathaPollitt/statu

🐦🔗: twitter.com/nationinterns/stat

Internal struggles in the Movement Towards Socialism party have once again spiraled into a brawl during a regional party congress.

RT @SaraBellidos@twitter.com

:
El fin de semana en un otro congreso del MAS en el municipio de del departamento de terminó en una pelea campal agarrándose a sillas y puñetes

🐦🔗: twitter.com/SaraBellidos/statu

Phew!

Wordle 380 6/6

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