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@c_change To give the devil his due: IIRC Nixon coined the phrase but the CR immediately stole it from him. Kevin Phillips’ “American Theocracy” is a good but flawed story of how the CR rose, by the way.

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@c_change To give the devil his due: IIRC Nixon coined the phrase but the CR immediately stole it from him. Kevin Phillips’ “American Theocracy” is a good but flawed story of how the CR rose, by the way.

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@rebeccawatson not 101 in Santa Clara county, I would guess. It’s a parking lot right now.

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@rebeccawatson not 101 in Santa Clara county, I would guess. It’s a parking lot right now.

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@ArchaeoIain @infobeautiful As far as I know, Skoglund and Reich represents the current state of the research, although it is 8 years old. They believe that the genomic evidence points to four migration clusters but state that the evidence doesn’t indicate the paths of the migration. Is there a more recent overall survey in the open literature?

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/275070 99/

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@ArchaeoIain @infobeautiful As far as I know, Skoglund and Reich represents the current state of the research, although it is 8 years old. They believe that the genomic evidence points to four migration clusters but state that the evidence doesn’t indicate the paths of the migration. Is there a more recent overall survey in the open literature?

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/275070 99/

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@qurlyjoe @ai6yr @lcamtuf @jerry @Viss No. It’s a common plan and there are hundreds of examples but there are some famous counter examples, going back at least to HP, and including Amazon, Netflix and Google.

Only one of the many startups I have been associated with had “be bought” as a goal but that’s a very small set of examples.

Maybe 10% of startups are founded by people who expect to create viable businesses.

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@qurlyjoe @ai6yr @lcamtuf @jerry @Viss No. It’s a common plan and there are hundreds of examples but there are some famous counter examples, going back at least to HP, and including Amazon, Netflix and Google.

Only one of the many startups I have been associated with had “be bought” as a goal but that’s a very small set of examples.

Maybe 10% of startups are founded by people who expect to create viable businesses.

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@ArchaeoIain @infobeautiful I’m not convinced by genomics for various technical reasons but it has certainly chilled any search for alternatives.

But I, of course, defer to your professional expertise.

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@ArchaeoIain @infobeautiful I’m not convinced by genomics for various technical reasons but it has certainly chilled any search for alternatives.

But I, of course, defer to your professional expertise.

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@ArchaeoIain @infobeautiful I am not an archeologist but I am aware that there is very little support and much objection to the ides of an Asia to North America land bridge leading to the Americans being settled from North to South as well.

There is credible evidence to suggest that people settled South America from at least three directions, coming from Africa and Oceania as well ad North America.

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@ArchaeoIain @infobeautiful I am not an archeologist but I am aware that there is very little support and much objection to the ides of an Asia to North America land bridge leading to the Americans being settled from North to South as well.

There is credible evidence to suggest that people settled South America from at least three directions, coming from Africa and Oceania as well ad North America.

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@jkb @nirak I have not seen the survey questions but if I understand correctly, everyone was surveyed during the same period; asked the same questions. I don’t think that supports the conclusions people are drawing about why the difference is so large.

When I was in college, white collar starting salaries were around $10k, so $100k is 10x. If similar salaries were around $90k when they were in college, then the expectations are similar and not tied to housing cost

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@jkb @nirak I have not seen the survey questions but if I understand correctly, everyone was surveyed during the same period; asked the same questions. I don’t think that supports the conclusions people are drawing about why the difference is so large.

When I was in college, white collar starting salaries were around $10k, so $100k is 10x. If similar salaries were around $90k when they were in college, then the expectations are similar and not tied to housing cost

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@jkb @nirak It was 12 years because of the interest rate on the 30 year mortgage. There are still places in the US where you can buy at 3x but with much better interest rates, like my home town in Montana. It’s just that nobody wants to live there.

Interestingly if you include loan costs and adjust for inflation, here in the San Francisco Bay Area housing prices have risen about 10%/year since the 50s.

The problem is that salaries have not.

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@jkb @nirak It was 12 years because of the interest rate on the 30 year mortgage. There are still places in the US where you can buy at 3x but with much better interest rates, like my home town in Montana. It’s just that nobody wants to live there.

Interestingly if you include loan costs and adjust for inflation, here in the San Francisco Bay Area housing prices have risen about 10%/year since the 50s.

The problem is that salaries have not.

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@lowqualityfacts potato anti defamation league on line 3

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@lowqualityfacts potato anti defamation league on line 3

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@bruces The sad thing is that a handful of snake oil salesmen like Minsky have given a nearly 70 year old branch of computer science a bad reputation that obscures the good work done by thousands of researchers that few outside the field could even name.

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@bruces The sad thing is that a handful of snake oil salesmen like Minsky have given a nearly 70 year old branch of computer science a bad reputation that obscures the good work done by thousands of researchers that few outside the field could even name.

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@nirak @jkb A 30 year loan at the interest rates in effect from the mid 70s to the early 2000s meant paying around 4 times the purchase price as your total cost.

The dramatic reduction of interest rates is a factor in the dramatic rise in purchase price that is often ignored in discussions of house prices.

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@nirak @jkb A 30 year loan at the interest rates in effect from the mid 70s to the early 2000s meant paying around 4 times the purchase price as your total cost.

The dramatic reduction of interest rates is a factor in the dramatic rise in purchase price that is often ignored in discussions of house prices.

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@jkb @nirak There was no time when boomers were old enough to be buying houses that new homes were under $25K, in most of the US, which is what multiple homes per year would have to be priced at on a < $100K salary.

It’s true that house prices as a percentage of income are far higher now than they were when I bought; but let’s not indulge in fantasy.

The house I live in was 3x my annual salary when I bought it. The 30 year loan had a 17% APR.

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@jkb @nirak There was no time when boomers were old enough to be buying houses that new homes were under $25K, in most of the US, which is what multiple homes per year would have to be priced at on a < $100K salary.

It’s true that house prices as a percentage of income are far higher now than they were when I bought; but let’s not indulge in fantasy.

The house I live in was 3x my annual salary when I bought it. The 30 year loan had a 17% APR.

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@wesley @TheWarOnCars Yes the data is out there. It’s contradictory and confusing,i partly because it doesn’t properly account for population density. If you want to see how confusing take a look at the studies that show that sometimes reducing speed limits increases accident rates.

I have been rage passed in front of a school with a 15mph limit, double yellow lines and speed bumps every quarter mile.

Yes road design matters. But it can only do so much.

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@wesley @TheWarOnCars Yes the data is out there. It’s contradictory and confusing,i partly because it doesn’t properly account for population density. If you want to see how confusing take a look at the studies that show that sometimes reducing speed limits increases accident rates.

I have been rage passed in front of a school with a 15mph limit, double yellow lines and speed bumps every quarter mile.

Yes road design matters. But it can only do so much.

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@streetartutopia My neighbor has built a small version that she calls “a little free pantry” It is a good thing and I am glad you mentioned one.

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@streetartutopia My neighbor has built a small version that she calls “a little free pantry” It is a good thing and I am glad you mentioned one.

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@wesley @TheWarOnCars We don’t know either of the first two. Half the fatal accidents here last year occurred in 25mph zones.

Around here many traffic calming techniques are in use with little impact on fatality rates. Narrowing streets, adding speed bumps, flashing lights at crossings all have had marginal impact but have lengthened emergency response times.

Charging right on red rules implies another stakeholder: state legislators need to be held responsible

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@wesley @TheWarOnCars We don’t know either of the first two. Half the fatal accidents here last year occurred in 25mph zones.

Around here many traffic calming techniques are in use with little impact on fatality rates. Narrowing streets, adding speed bumps, flashing lights at crossings all have had marginal impact but have lengthened emergency response times.

Charging right on red rules implies another stakeholder: state legislators need to be held responsible