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#2024yr4

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Network Disaster v6<p>Die <a href="https://social.bau-ha.us/tags/NASA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NASA</span></a> korregierte ihre Berrechnung zu <a href="https://social.bau-ha.us/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a>. Es ist eher unwahrscheinlich, dass dieser Asteroid auf die Erde fällt. Es ist eher wahrscheinlich (3,8 %), dass er auf dem Mond fällt.</p><p>🔗 <a href="https://www.sueddeutsche.de/li.3232770" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">sueddeutsche.de/li.3232770</span><span class="invisible"></span></a><br>🔗 <a href="https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">science.nasa.gov/blogs/planeta</span><span class="invisible">ry-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/</span></a></p>
Michael Busch<p>The DESTINY+ team also presented a potential trajectory that would fly by <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Apophis" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Apophis</span></a>, then by <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Phaethon" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Phaethon</span></a>, and then by <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>2024YR4</span></a>.</p><p>But if this will be possible or not depends on the exact launch date out of Tanegashima.</p>
Futura<p>Des observations «&nbsp;en urgence&nbsp;» de l’<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ast%C3%A9ro%C3%AFde" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>astéroïde</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> révèle une <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/origine" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>origine</span></a> étonnante et une <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/forme" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>forme</span></a> unique ! <a href="http://sci3nc.es/TK3M8r" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">http://</span><span class="">sci3nc.es/TK3M8r</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p>
Daniel Fischer<p>The discovery and characterization of Earth-crossing asteroid <a href="https://scicomm.xyz/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a>: <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.05694" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">arxiv.org/abs/2503.05694</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> -&gt; Astronomers Trace Earth-Crossing Asteroid to Surprising Origin: <a href="https://keckobservatory.org/2024-yr4/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">keckobservatory.org/2024-yr4/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> (namely that it's a solid, stony type that likely originated from an asteroid family in the central Main Belt between Mars and Jupiter, a region not previously known to produce Earth-crossing asteroids).</p>
Michael Busch<p>Discussion of the lunar impact risk corridor for <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> in 2032: <a href="https://groups.io/g/mpml/topic/2024_yr4_moon_impact/112132507" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">groups.io/g/mpml/topic/2024_yr</span><span class="invisible">4_moon_impact/112132507</span></a> .</p><p>3 to 4% chance of lunar impact, with a few tenths of a percent on the far side and the rest on the near side.</p><p>But almost all on the day side; so the initial flash from an impact by <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> would be competing with the brightness of the entire rest of the Moon.</p>
Astro Hawk (Ian Kluft) 🚀🛰️<p>An impact of <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/asteroid" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>asteroid</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> on the <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/Moon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Moon</span></a> could be visible from Earth, if it impacts the side that faces us. Additional hazards not mentioned in articles I've seen so far would affect planning for <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/NASA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NASA</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/Artemis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Artemis</span></a> landing missions and Lunar Gateway space station (not yet launched). Some ejecta/debris from the impact would leave the Moon's weak gravity and could threaten Earth or our satellites weeks or months after impact. <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/astronomy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>astronomy</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/PlanetaryDefense" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PlanetaryDefense</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/PlanetaryDefence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PlanetaryDefence</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/LowFlyingRocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LowFlyingRocks</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/space" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>space</span></a></p>
Astro Hawk (Ian Kluft) 🚀🛰️<p>"Asteroid will miss Earth — but may set off lunar light show" by <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.online/@cosmiclog" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>cosmiclog</span></a></span> / <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.social/@alanboyle" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>alanboyle</span></a></span> - <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/Asteroid" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Asteroid</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> orbit is understood well enough now that it will not impact Earth in 2032. But it's still close. A lunar impact remains possible, currently at 3.8% probability. The article paints a picture of just a light show visible from Earth. But there are more potential hazards. <a href="https://cosmiclog.com/2025/04/07/asteroid-will-miss-earth-but-may-set-off-lunar-light-show/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">cosmiclog.com/2025/04/07/aster</span><span class="invisible">oid-will-miss-earth-but-may-set-off-lunar-light-show/</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/astronomy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>astronomy</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/PlanetaryDefense" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PlanetaryDefense</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/PlanetaryDefence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PlanetaryDefence</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/LowFlyingRocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LowFlyingRocks</span></a> <a href="https://spacey.space/tags/space" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>space</span></a></p>
France | République française<p><a href="https://www.europesays.com/fr/8813/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">europesays.com/fr/8813/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> Et maintenant, l’astéroïde 2024 YR4 menace d’entrer en collision avec la Lune ! Faut-il s’inquiéter pour notre planète ? <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> #2032 <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ast%C3%A9ro%C3%AFde" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>astéroïde</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/astronomie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>astronomie</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ciel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ciel</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/collision" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>collision</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/crat%C3%A8re" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>cratère</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/danger" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>danger</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Espace" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Espace</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/FR" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>FR</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/France" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>France</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/hausse" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>hausse</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/impact" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>impact</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/lune" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>lune</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/NASA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NASA</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/orbite" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>orbite</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/plan%C3%A8te" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>planète</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/probabilit%C3%A9" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>probabilité</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/risque" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>risque</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Satellite" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Satellite</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Science</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ScienceAndTechnology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ScienceAndTechnology</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Sciences" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Sciences</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/SciencesEtTechnologies" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>SciencesEtTechnologies</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/scientifiques" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>scientifiques</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Technologies" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Technologies</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Technology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Technology</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Terre" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Terre</span></a></p>
Alan Boyle<p>Good news: <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Asteroid" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Asteroid</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> won't hit Earth in 2032. Potentially better news: It might hit the moon, sparking a scientifically interesting but harmless light show. Stay tuned... <a href="https://cosmiclog.com/2025/04/07/asteroid-will-miss-earth-but-may-set-off-lunar-light-show/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">cosmiclog.com/2025/04/07/aster</span><span class="invisible">oid-will-miss-earth-but-may-set-off-lunar-light-show/</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Space" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Space</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Moon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Moon</span></a></p>
ENTER.CO<p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/PorSiTeLoPerdiste" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PorSiTeLoPerdiste</span></a> El asteroide 2024 YR4 tiene en la mira a la Luna ¿Cuándo impactará y qué consecuencias podría tener para la Tierra? <a href="https://www.enter.co/cultura-digital/ciencia/el-asteroide-2024-yr4-tiene-en-la-mira-a-la-luna-cuando-impactara-y-que-consecuencias-podria-tener-para-la-tierra/?utm_source=dlvr.it&amp;utm_medium=mastodon" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">enter.co/cultura-digital/cienc</span><span class="invisible">ia/el-asteroide-2024-yr4-tiene-en-la-mira-a-la-luna-cuando-impactara-y-que-consecuencias-podria-tener-para-la-tierra/?utm_source=dlvr.it&amp;utm_medium=mastodon</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Ciencia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Ciencia</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Asteroide" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Asteroide</span></a></p>
Kuuke's Sterrenbeelden<p>Webb meet grootte van de potentieel gevaarlijke asteroïde 2024 YR4</p><p>De vernietigende kracht van een inslaande asteroïde wordt voornamelijk geschat door kennis van de omvang ervan. Asteroïde 2024 YR4 die dicht bij de Aarde komt, bereikte een piek inslagwaarschijnlijkheid van 3,2% in 2032 wat de wens motiveerde om de omvang erva</p><p><a href="https://www.kuuke.nl/webb-meet-grootte-van-de-potentieel-gevaarlijke-asteroide-2024-yr4/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">kuuke.nl/webb-meet-grootte-van</span><span class="invisible">-de-potentieel-gevaarlijke-asteroide-2024-yr4/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/aardscheerder" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>aardscheerder</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/infrarood" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>infrarood</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/miri" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>miri</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/NIRCam" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NIRCam</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/WebbSpaceTelescope" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>WebbSpaceTelescope</span></a></p>
Michael Busch<p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> work by the asteroid group at Helsinki.</p><p>QT University of Helsinki @helsinki.fi‬<br />2025 April 4</p><p>Pohjoismainen teleskooppi NOT oli avainasemassa selvitettäessä potentiaalisesti vaarallisen asteroidin todennäköisyyttä törmätä Maahan.</p><p>Asteroidi 2024 YR4:llä on tällä hetkellä 0,001 prosentin todennäköisyys Maahan, mutta jopa noin 4 prosentin todennäköisyys Kuuhun.</p><p><a href="https://www.helsinki.fi/fi/uutiset/avaruus/asteroidin-tormaysuhka-arviot-maahan-ja-kuuhun-tarkentuneet" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">helsinki.fi/fi/uutiset/avaruus</span><span class="invisible">/asteroidin-tormaysuhka-arviot-maahan-ja-kuuhun-tarkentuneet</span></a> [ Finnish ]</p><p><a href="https://www.helsinki.fi/en/news/space/asteroid-impact-threat-estimates-improved-earth-and-moon" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">helsinki.fi/en/news/space/aste</span><span class="invisible">roid-impact-threat-estimates-improved-earth-and-moon</span></a> [ English ]</p><p><a href="https://bsky.app/profile/helsinki.fi/post/3lly7g5pva22a" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">bsky.app/profile/helsinki.fi/p</span><span class="invisible">ost/3lly7g5pva22a</span></a></p>
ENTER.CO<p>El asteroide 2024 YR4 tiene en la mira a la Luna ¿Cuándo impactará y qué consecuencias podría tener para la Tierra? <a href="https://www.enter.co/cultura-digital/ciencia/el-asteroide-2024-yr4-tiene-en-la-mira-a-la-luna-cuando-impactara-y-que-consecuencias-podria-tener-para-la-tierra/?utm_source=dlvr.it&amp;utm_medium=mastodon" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">enter.co/cultura-digital/cienc</span><span class="invisible">ia/el-asteroide-2024-yr4-tiene-en-la-mira-a-la-luna-cuando-impactara-y-que-consecuencias-podria-tener-para-la-tierra/?utm_source=dlvr.it&amp;utm_medium=mastodon</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Ciencia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Ciencia</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Asteroide" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Asteroide</span></a></p>
elbuhocurioso ✨🔭🌳🚴🏼‍♀️🧙🏼‍♂️✍🏼💩<p>Noticias sobre <a href="https://astrodon.social/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a>, el asteroide que activó el sistema de aviso de defensa plantearía. Con observaciones del JWST se reestima su tamaño entre 53 y 67 metros. Difícilmente impactará con la Tierra 🌍, pero con la Luna la probabilidad es de un 3,8%<br><a href="https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">science.nasa.gov/blogs/planeta</span><span class="invisible">ry-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/</span></a></p>
Observatorio del IPA<p>Aumentó levemente la probabilidad de que el asteroide 2024 YR4 impacte la Luna. Ahora la probabilidad es de 3,8% según la NASA <a href="https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">science.nasa.gov/blogs/planeta</span><span class="invisible">ry-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/2024yr4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024yr4</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/impacto" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>impacto</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/luna" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>luna</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/impact" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>impact</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/moon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>moon</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/asteroide" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>asteroide</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/asteroid" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>asteroid</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/astronomia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>astronomia</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/astronomy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>astronomy</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/neo" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>neo</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.uy/tags/nea" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>nea</span></a></p>
Flipboard Science Desk<p>NASA’s Webb telescope captures photos of the asteroid that won’t hit Earth in 2032.</p><p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://flipboard.com/@AssociatedPress" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>AssociatedPress</span></a></span> reports on the asteroid 2024 YR4: <a href="https://flip.it/6O2d.1" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">flip.it/6O2d.1</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p><a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/Space" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Space</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/Asteroid" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Asteroid</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/NASA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NASA</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/Science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Science</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/2024yr4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024yr4</span></a></p>
Futura<p>Le télescope James-Webb l’a observé : voici enfin une image de l’<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ast%C3%A9ro%C3%AFde" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>astéroïde</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> qui pourrait frapper la Lune <a href="http://sci3nc.es/TJwjPS" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">http://</span><span class="">sci3nc.es/TJwjPS</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p>
Daniel Fischer<p>Confirmation from NASA in <a href="https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">science.nasa.gov/blogs/planeta</span><span class="invisible">ry-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/</span></a> that with the new Webb plus additional ground-based astrometry the impact probability of <a href="https://scicomm.xyz/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> for the Moon has risen to 3.8% or 1:26. By mid-month ground-based observers will lose sight of the asteroid but Webb will have one more look in May.</p>
Michael Busch<p>CNEOS at JPL now quotes a 3.8% chance of <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> impacting the Moon in 2032.</p><p>Again; the different trajectory predictions differ very slightly because of different data weights.</p><p><a href="https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">science.nasa.gov/blogs/planeta</span><span class="invisible">ry-defense/2025/04/02/nasa-update-on-the-size-estimate-and-lunar-impact-probability-of-asteroid-2024-yr4/</span></a></p>
Deutschland<p><a href="https://www.europesays.com/de/3395/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">europesays.com/de/3395/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> „Wir drücken die Daumen“: Asteroid 2024 YR₄ könnte noch immer den Mond treffen <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/2024YR4" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024YR4</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Asteroid" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Asteroid</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Astronomie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Astronomie</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Deutschland" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Deutschland</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Germany" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Germany</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/JamesWebbSpaceTelescope" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>JamesWebbSpaceTelescope</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/JamesWebbWeltraumteleskop" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>JamesWebbWeltraumteleskop</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/JWST" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>JWST</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Science</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Science</span></a>&amp;Technology <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Technik" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Technik</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Technology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Technology</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Wissen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Wissen</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Wissenschaft" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Wissenschaft</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Wissenschaft" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Wissenschaft</span></a>&amp;Technik</p>