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Mark<a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#Insiders</a> is usually very good at ignoring 9 years of <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/LNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#LNP</a> failures, but the stupidity of Liberal Party senator James Paterson broke David Speers. 🤣<a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/budget" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#budget</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/inflation" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#inflation</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Election2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#Election2025</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/AustraliaVotes" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#AustraliaVotes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#auspol</a>

Paul<a href="https://aus.social/@andyjennings" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@andyjennings</a> majority off a primary vote under 30% (the number in the MRP) 🤔Yeah nah<a href="https://theblower.au/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#auspol</a> <a href="https://theblower.au/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

Andrew Jenningswho thinks the Labor party can form majority government? The Multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) model, that's who. Go Casey. <a href="https://aus.social/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#auspol</a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#insiders</a>

Paul<a href="https://aus.social/@joannejacobs" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@joannejacobs</a> 20 seats was always a very high bar, good that reality is hitting At this stage it's hard seeing them winning more than a net 10 with the possibility they could drop more to "Teal" independents I really don't see Labor getting to majority either unless they convincingly win the campaign 5 weeks a long time in politics <a href="https://theblower.au/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#auspol</a> <a href="https://theblower.au/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

sortiusYeh, Maiden, all the Libs have is chum for the water, and you fuckers go mad.No baited hooks needed, partisan hacks like Maiden just jump onboard while we all sit here scratching our heads<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

sortiusMaiden is on drugs."I can see Dutton doing well in a head-to-head TV campaign".What the fuck even is a "head-to-head TV campaign"? Something from the 1950's?<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

Joanne JacobsAh, finally the journos are acknowledging what many amateur psephologists have been saying for months; that the get notion that Australia's Liberal-National Party Coalition (aka the Conservatives) could win government is nonsense. That's not how Australians vote. <a href="https://aus.social/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#insiders</a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#auspol</a>

sortiusThe outer suburban belt is work-from-home workers, Muslims, fairly progressive, but in a conservative way, people. Literally the antithesis of Dutton.While he rages against work-from-home, they realise their income is going down.While he rages against pro-Palestinian protests, they see their brothers and sisters being attacked.While he rages against "woke" people, they see their friends and family members being attacked.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#insiders</a>

Mark“Proposed Queensland <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/nuclear" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#nuclear</a> power plants risk contaminating <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/water" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#water</a> supplies in event of disaster”<a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/LNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#LNP</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/energy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#energy</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/environment" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#environment</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#insiders</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Election2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#Election2025</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#auspol</a><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/mar/23/proposed-queensland-nuclear-power-plants-risk-contaminating-water-supplies-in-event-of-disaster-research-finds-ntwnfb" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no">https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/mar/23/proposed-queensland-nuclear-power-plants-risk-contaminating-water-supplies-in-event-of-disaster-research-finds-ntwnfb</a>

sortiusThat's gotta scare Dutton<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

sortius"Dutton's not trying to court this association"? Coorey is high on his own supply (of farts) there.Dutton created his shadow "DoGE" ministry, yet somehow he's not trying to court some sort of association with Trump? Get fucked<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/AusVotes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AusVotes</a>

Gracchus ☕️🏴‍☠️🇺🇳🇺🇦🦘Antony Greens Padawan Casey Briggs 🙏 We will be in good hands when the Master retires. <a href="https://aus.social/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#insiders</a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#auspol</a>

Joanne JacobsAgain, "what have you given me?" is the WRONG QUESTION. The CORRECT question is, "what sort of country do you want us to build together?" <a href="https://aus.social/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#auspol</a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#insiders</a>

Joanne JacobsHere's the thing. Electricity and gas prices are actually not the issue. What matters is just how much Australia's climate is changing and how much that impacts the frequency of severe weather events. And how those affect agriculture, housing, insurance, cost of living and health. <a href="https://aus.social/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#insiders</a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#auspol</a>

sortiusWhen you hear "The government couldn't even track a Chinese warship", ADF personnel hear "The RAN couldn't even track a Chinese warship".Neither of those statements are true, those ships were tracked from port<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

sortiusPatterson just disparaged the ADF. Good work mate.Whoever made Patterson campaign spokesperson was a genius! Not for the Coalition, but for everyone else<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

sortiusWell, Patterson just announced $9b/year of fuel excise cuts, indefinitely.Yep, that's not going to help you on the campaign trail. Hack will tear that apart<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

Gracchus ☕️🏴‍☠️🇺🇳🇺🇦🦘Truly senator James Patterson is the scariest of all the LNP. I think the IPA has nearly perfected their model in him. Reasonably sounding, quick thinking drone. <a href="https://aus.social/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#insiders</a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#auspol</a>

Mark“YouGov modelling shows swing back to <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Labor" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#Labor</a> with majority government potentially in reach”🟥 Labor 50.2% 🟦 LNP 49.8%Labor could win 69-80 seats, with 76 seats required for a majority.<a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/polls" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#polls</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#insiders</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Election2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#Election2025</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/AustraliaVotes" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#AustraliaVotes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#auspol</a> <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03-30/yougov-modelling-finds-swing-back-to-labor-since-february/105112720" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no">https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03-30/yougov-modelling-finds-swing-back-to-labor-since-february/105112720</a>

sortiusWhat's the point in having Maiden there? She's literally adding nothing to the conversation other than Coalition talking points. Literally straight from their morning email<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Insiders" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Insiders</a>

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