Why I thought Ukraine wouldn’t blow the third and locally last bridge in #Kursk and why I was wrong.
TL;DR The offensive, it’s a trap! Blowing the last bridge means the offensive is concluding. It is maximising the trap, maximising the Ukrainian defensive capabilities and also in doing so inhibits the Ukraine moving North. I was thinking they’d keep the door open for themselves in what would become internal area.
I don’t delude myself to think I have the pull to blow an op-sec but it just takes one viral toot to spread an idea, so if that was their intention I wasn’t going to share. It’s just good discipline.
On the map, area A, North of Sumy, is now locked in. The troops guarding the border can stay there and rest. Their rotation can head up to the river and setup a new border, much easier to defend but needs digging in. Area B is a bridge too far so well done #Syrsky, who has just guaranteed this massive victory.
#Ukraine are about to destroy in detail those who remain.
The by now exhausted offensive Ukraine
troops can mop up and boy are they going to mop up! They can also begin their rest and recharge.
It’s a smart move. They can still take area B but it might not be next. They can’t roll in over the bridge but they can go anywhere next meaning they regain the element of surprise. I know where I’d send them next but as per above, I’m not sharing.